• Home
  • About
    • Oxford University Press | Forthcoming | "How China's Green Strategy is Changing the World" (chapter in The Oxford Handbook on the Greening of Economic Development)
    • The Brookings Institution | January 2025| "Trump dealmaking could shift the cold war over the climate"
    • The Brookings Institution | February 2023 | "Power Play: How the U.S. Wins if China Greens the Global South"
    • Canary Media | Jan. 31, 2023 | "Can an economic giant clean up natural gas -- and then swap in hydrogen?"
    • Canary Media | Jan. 30, 2023 | "Inside the high-dollar race to sell natural gas as low-carbon"
    • WIRED | September 2022 | "The Carbon Underground"
    • iScience | Nov. 19, 2021 | "Hot Money: Illuminating the Financing of High-Carbon Infrastructure in the Developing World"
    • The Brookings Institution | Nov. 10, 2021 | "Infrastructure in the developing world is a planetary furnace. Here’s how to cool it."
    • New York Times | Nov. 9, 2021 | "Money for Carbon Cuts is Missing the Mark in the Developing World"
    • Fortune | October/November 2021 | "Burned"
    • Joule | July 2021 | "Hard choices about heavy metal on a hot planet"
    • Texas Monthly | June 2021 | "Subsidy Shuffle"
    • Texas Monthly | May 27, 2021 | "ExxonMobil and Its Rivals Learn They Can’t Ignore Climate Activists"
    • Texas Monthly | May 2021 | "Sea Change"
    • Texas Monthly | Feb. 19, 2021 | "The Texas Blackout is the Story of a Disaster Foretold"
    • Fortune | Feb. 16, 2021 | "The electrification of the auto industry is speeding up"
    • The East Asia Institute | Dec. 7, 2020 | "Retreat from the Rock"
    • The Brookings Institution | Sept. 14, 2020 | "The Climate of Chinese Checks"
    • Texas Monthly | July 2020 | "The 'Mother Fracker' Reckons With the Mother of All Oil Busts"
    • Stanford Magazine | June 5, 2020 | "To My Residents, in Tumultuous Times"
    • Fortune | May 2020 | "Why the Coronavirus Crisis Could Make Big Oil Greener"
    • Fortune | April 2020 | "Big Oil's Hail Mary"
    • Fortune | April 2020 | "Inside Project Odessa"
    • Fortune | November 2019 | "Racing a Rising Tide"
    • Fortune | September 2019 | "Electric Car Gold Rush: The Auto Industry Charges Into China"
    • Fortune | September 2019 | "From Fringe to Core" The 'Green' Economy Grows Up"
    • Mother Jones | September/October 2019 | "Burn. Build. Repeat: Why Our Wildfire Policy Is So Deadly"
    • Fortune | June 2019 | "The Race to Build a Better Battery"
    • The Brookings Institution | May 28, 2019 | "Grow Green China Inc.: How China's Epic Push for Cleaner Energy Creates Economic Opportunity for the West"
    • Fortune | May 28, 2019 | "Why the U.S. Should Embrace 'Green China Inc.,' Not Fight It"
    • Fortune | April 2019 | "China's Electric-Car Showdown"
    • Fortune | March 26, 2019 | "Norway's State-Run Oil and Gas Giant Is Backing a Battery-Research Fund"
    • USA Today | Jan. 10, 2019 | "Carbon Prices Are Like Unicorns and Fairy Dust"
    • Joule | December 2018 | "Hot Air Won't Fly: The New Climate Consensus That Carbon Pricing Isn't Cutting It"
    • Wall Street Journal | December 8, 2018 | "Why Californians Were Drawn Toward the Fire Zones"
    • New York Times | September 23, 2018 | "With Climate Change No Longer in the Future, Adaptation Speeds Up"
    • Mother Jones | July/August 2018 | "Sun Blocked"
    • Foreign Affairs | July/August 2018 | "Why Carbon Pricing Isn't Working"
    • Fortune | June 2018 | "Lone Star Rising"
    • The Cairo Review of Global Affairs | Winter 2018 | "The New Age of Renewable Energy"
    • Fortune | February 2018 | "Shell Faces `Lower Forever'"
    • Wall Street Journal | Nov. 13, 2017 | "Will New Tariffs Hurt the U.S. Solar-Power Industry? Yes."
    • Foreign Affairs | July 17, 2017 | Climate Wars
    • New York Times | March 21, 2017 | "Making Solar Big Enough to Matter"
    • Stanford | March 2017 | "The New Solar System"
    • Fortune | March 2017 | "Germany's High-Priced Energy Revolution"
    • Fortune | January 2017 | "Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson: Conflict Ahead?"
    • Fortune | December 2015 | "Silicon Valley's New Power Player: China"
    • New Republic | December 2015 | "Who Will Pay for Climate Change?"
    • The Atlantic | July/August 2015 | "Why the Saudis Are Going Solar"
    • New Republic | February 2015 | "Facing the Truth About Climate Change"
    • Fortune | September 2014 | "The Drama of Mexico's (Black) Gold"
    • Finance and Development | September 2014 | "New Powers"
    • Quartz | June 2013 | "How China's solar boom fizzled and went bust"
    • Foreign Affairs | May/June 2012 | "Tough Love for Renewable Energy"
    • Wall Street Journal "Energy Experts" blog
    • Slate
    • Lecturing
    • Moderating and interviewing
  • Research & Teaching
    • Television
    • Print and Radio
  • Contact
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JEFFREY BALL

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E: JEFFREY@JEFFREYBALL.NET

JEFFREY BALL

  • Home
  • About
  • Writing
    • Oxford University Press | Forthcoming | "How China's Green Strategy is Changing the World" (chapter in The Oxford Handbook on the Greening of Economic Development)
    • The Brookings Institution | January 2025| "Trump dealmaking could shift the cold war over the climate"
    • The Brookings Institution | February 2023 | "Power Play: How the U.S. Wins if China Greens the Global South"
    • Canary Media | Jan. 31, 2023 | "Can an economic giant clean up natural gas -- and then swap in hydrogen?"
    • Canary Media | Jan. 30, 2023 | "Inside the high-dollar race to sell natural gas as low-carbon"
    • WIRED | September 2022 | "The Carbon Underground"
    • iScience | Nov. 19, 2021 | "Hot Money: Illuminating the Financing of High-Carbon Infrastructure in the Developing World"
    • The Brookings Institution | Nov. 10, 2021 | "Infrastructure in the developing world is a planetary furnace. Here’s how to cool it."
    • New York Times | Nov. 9, 2021 | "Money for Carbon Cuts is Missing the Mark in the Developing World"
    • Fortune | October/November 2021 | "Burned"
    • Joule | July 2021 | "Hard choices about heavy metal on a hot planet"
    • Texas Monthly | June 2021 | "Subsidy Shuffle"
    • Texas Monthly | May 27, 2021 | "ExxonMobil and Its Rivals Learn They Can’t Ignore Climate Activists"
    • Texas Monthly | May 2021 | "Sea Change"
    • Texas Monthly | Feb. 19, 2021 | "The Texas Blackout is the Story of a Disaster Foretold"
    • Fortune | Feb. 16, 2021 | "The electrification of the auto industry is speeding up"
    • The East Asia Institute | Dec. 7, 2020 | "Retreat from the Rock"
    • The Brookings Institution | Sept. 14, 2020 | "The Climate of Chinese Checks"
    • Texas Monthly | July 2020 | "The 'Mother Fracker' Reckons With the Mother of All Oil Busts"
    • Stanford Magazine | June 5, 2020 | "To My Residents, in Tumultuous Times"
    • Fortune | May 2020 | "Why the Coronavirus Crisis Could Make Big Oil Greener"
    • Fortune | April 2020 | "Big Oil's Hail Mary"
    • Fortune | April 2020 | "Inside Project Odessa"
    • Fortune | November 2019 | "Racing a Rising Tide"
    • Fortune | September 2019 | "Electric Car Gold Rush: The Auto Industry Charges Into China"
    • Fortune | September 2019 | "From Fringe to Core" The 'Green' Economy Grows Up"
    • Mother Jones | September/October 2019 | "Burn. Build. Repeat: Why Our Wildfire Policy Is So Deadly"
    • Fortune | June 2019 | "The Race to Build a Better Battery"
    • The Brookings Institution | May 28, 2019 | "Grow Green China Inc.: How China's Epic Push for Cleaner Energy Creates Economic Opportunity for the West"
    • Fortune | May 28, 2019 | "Why the U.S. Should Embrace 'Green China Inc.,' Not Fight It"
    • Fortune | April 2019 | "China's Electric-Car Showdown"
    • Fortune | March 26, 2019 | "Norway's State-Run Oil and Gas Giant Is Backing a Battery-Research Fund"
    • USA Today | Jan. 10, 2019 | "Carbon Prices Are Like Unicorns and Fairy Dust"
    • Joule | December 2018 | "Hot Air Won't Fly: The New Climate Consensus That Carbon Pricing Isn't Cutting It"
    • Wall Street Journal | December 8, 2018 | "Why Californians Were Drawn Toward the Fire Zones"
    • New York Times | September 23, 2018 | "With Climate Change No Longer in the Future, Adaptation Speeds Up"
    • Mother Jones | July/August 2018 | "Sun Blocked"
    • Foreign Affairs | July/August 2018 | "Why Carbon Pricing Isn't Working"
    • Fortune | June 2018 | "Lone Star Rising"
    • The Cairo Review of Global Affairs | Winter 2018 | "The New Age of Renewable Energy"
    • Fortune | February 2018 | "Shell Faces `Lower Forever'"
    • Wall Street Journal | Nov. 13, 2017 | "Will New Tariffs Hurt the U.S. Solar-Power Industry? Yes."
    • Foreign Affairs | July 17, 2017 | Climate Wars
    • New York Times | March 21, 2017 | "Making Solar Big Enough to Matter"
    • Stanford | March 2017 | "The New Solar System"
    • Fortune | March 2017 | "Germany's High-Priced Energy Revolution"
    • Fortune | January 2017 | "Donald Trump and Rex Tillerson: Conflict Ahead?"
    • Fortune | December 2015 | "Silicon Valley's New Power Player: China"
    • New Republic | December 2015 | "Who Will Pay for Climate Change?"
    • The Atlantic | July/August 2015 | "Why the Saudis Are Going Solar"
    • New Republic | February 2015 | "Facing the Truth About Climate Change"
    • Fortune | September 2014 | "The Drama of Mexico's (Black) Gold"
    • Finance and Development | September 2014 | "New Powers"
    • Quartz | June 2013 | "How China's solar boom fizzled and went bust"
    • Foreign Affairs | May/June 2012 | "Tough Love for Renewable Energy"
    • Wall Street Journal "Energy Experts" blog
    • Slate
  • Speaking
    • Lecturing
    • Moderating and interviewing
  • Research & Teaching
  • Media
    • Television
    • Print and Radio
  • Contact

Burned | Fortune | October/November 2021

Six years ago, Liz Babb and her husband, Angelo Aloisio, retired financial services executives and new empty nesters, sold their place in San Francisco and moved to the woods. They bought a 1970s house on a steep slope in Portola Valley, an enclave of forested canyons minutes from Silicon Valley’s center that boasts a bohemian history, a reputation for moneyed discretion, and jaw-dropping views. It was an iconic—if, by local standards, modest—northern California dream home: wood construction, picture windows, multiple decks, and, everywhere, trees.

Lush vegetation blanketed the property: oaks, redwoods, and all manner of shrubs and bushes. They enveloped the house, but not only that. Soaring through the center of the structure—rising from the dirt, through the first-level floor, up three stories, and out the roof—stood a massive oak, its trunk encased by interior glass and its branches and leaves canopied over the house. “We were ready for our rural adventure,” said Babb, an avid hiker. When she first saw the shelter-magazine-worthy aerie, she recalled, “I fell in love with it.”

In August 2020, love turned to fear. A lightning storm struck hills stretching between Portola Valley and the Pacific Ocean—hills, that, like much of California and the West, are parched from years of drought. The bolts set the hills aflame. By the time five weeks later that firefighters extinguished what had come to be called the CZU Lightning Complex fires, the inferno had scorched some 86,500 acres and destroyed about 1,500 buildings. The blaze came within about eight miles of Portola Valley. The smoke plume turned the skies above the town a putrid, pallid orange. More permanently, the fire altered Babb’s view of her world. The ecology “has changed,” she said. “We’re a tinderbox here.”

Last November, fear turned to fatalism. Babb got a letter from Safeco, the company that had insured her homes for more than 15 years. Safeco informed her it was going to drop her homeowners policy in January; it had concluded her house in the trees was too severe a fire risk. For the next several weeks, Babb searched for another insurer, but other carriers, too, saw her house as a firetrap. Finally, days before their policy was to expire, she signed up for the California FAIR Plan, a last-resort fire-insurance pool that California established following urban riots in Los Angeles in the 1960s for people unable to get coverage through the regular market. Still, she will pay $8,000 annually for her full complement of homeowners insurance, about $7,000 of it for fire. That’s four times what she paid a year ago.

Babb and Aloisio, like many of their neighbors, can afford the expense. But even their rarefied ZIP code offers a window into the economic fallout from wildfires—recurring disasters that are intensifying in part owing to climate change. Here as elsewhere in California and across the American West, a surge of decisions by insurers not to renew the fire policies of property owners in combustible locations is spurring political fights and stoking fears of sinking property values. More consequentially, it is exacerbating societal inequities in ways that foreshadow dilemmas that will become more common in a warming world.

Read more here.

Burned | Fortune | October/November 2021

Six years ago, Liz Babb and her husband, Angelo Aloisio, retired financial services executives and new empty nesters, sold their place in San Francisco and moved to the woods. They bought a 1970s house on a steep slope in Portola Valley, an enclave of forested canyons minutes from Silicon Valley’s center that boasts a bohemian history, a reputation for moneyed discretion, and jaw-dropping views. It was an iconic—if, by local standards, modest—northern California dream home: wood construction, picture windows, multiple decks, and, everywhere, trees.

Lush vegetation blanketed the property: oaks, redwoods, and all manner of shrubs and bushes. They enveloped the house, but not only that. Soaring through the center of the structure—rising from the dirt, through the first-level floor, up three stories, and out the roof—stood a massive oak, its trunk encased by interior glass and its branches and leaves canopied over the house. “We were ready for our rural adventure,” said Babb, an avid hiker. When she first saw the shelter-magazine-worthy aerie, she recalled, “I fell in love with it.”

In August 2020, love turned to fear. A lightning storm struck hills stretching between Portola Valley and the Pacific Ocean—hills, that, like much of California and the West, are parched from years of drought. The bolts set the hills aflame. By the time five weeks later that firefighters extinguished what had come to be called the CZU Lightning Complex fires, the inferno had scorched some 86,500 acres and destroyed about 1,500 buildings. The blaze came within about eight miles of Portola Valley. The smoke plume turned the skies above the town a putrid, pallid orange. More permanently, the fire altered Babb’s view of her world. The ecology “has changed,” she said. “We’re a tinderbox here.”

Last November, fear turned to fatalism. Babb got a letter from Safeco, the company that had insured her homes for more than 15 years. Safeco informed her it was going to drop her homeowners policy in January; it had concluded her house in the trees was too severe a fire risk. For the next several weeks, Babb searched for another insurer, but other carriers, too, saw her house as a firetrap. Finally, days before their policy was to expire, she signed up for the California FAIR Plan, a last-resort fire-insurance pool that California established following urban riots in Los Angeles in the 1960s for people unable to get coverage through the regular market. Still, she will pay $8,000 annually for her full complement of homeowners insurance, about $7,000 of it for fire. That’s four times what she paid a year ago.

Babb and Aloisio, like many of their neighbors, can afford the expense. But even their rarefied ZIP code offers a window into the economic fallout from wildfires—recurring disasters that are intensifying in part owing to climate change. Here as elsewhere in California and across the American West, a surge of decisions by insurers not to renew the fire policies of property owners in combustible locations is spurring political fights and stoking fears of sinking property values. More consequentially, it is exacerbating societal inequities in ways that foreshadow dilemmas that will become more common in a warming world.

Read more here.

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© 2015 Jeffrey Ball | All Rights Reserved